UBS Eyes more Middle East Investments

By Shereen Shabnam

 

According to a new report by UBS, the Middle East is well placed to diversify its economy away from oil and gas, with growth potential in numerous sectors. The world's largest global wealth manager sees opportunities in solar power, tourism, finance, and other industries as region diversifies away from hydrocarbon production.

 

According to UBS's Chief Investment Office, potential beneficiaries include solar power, tourism, and finance, as well as economies like Saudi Arabia and Iran that are opening up to greater foreign investment. In some economies, greater diversification could lead to an eventual relaxation of exchange rate pegs with the US dollar, boosting their long-term flexibility.

 

Below are some areas UBS has identified which are key attractions for diversification.

 

Solar power: Without the prop of elevated oil and gas prices, UBS sees local energy subsidies as increasingly untenable amid growing domestic demand. With over 300 days of sunshine per year, the Middle East should use solar to help fill the gap. The Middle Eastern Solar Industry Association estimates that large-scale installations will stay competitive even with oil prices at USD30/bbl and gas prices at USD5/MMBtu.

 

Tourism: While Dubai has been at the forefront for many years, other countries in the region are following suit. Qatar is hosting the FIFA World Cup in 2022 and is planning to open Louvre and Guggenheim Museums. Saudi Arabia is targeting improvements in tourism and leisure in its Vision 2030 plan. Challenges include cultural differences between residents and visitors.

 

Finance: The oil and gas downturn has left the Middle East with growing financing needs, which is likely to boost interest from international investors. Bond issuance is rising, while the trend towards privatization and greater foreign ownership of companies will help open up Middle Eastern equity markets.

 

 

 

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